FNUS73 KGRR 221141
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HAPPY BLUE BUTTERFLY 4...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
741 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY MORNING
UNTIL A COLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA WITH FAIR AND DRY AND COOLER
WEATHER EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6300-6800 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR) INCREASING TO 1000-1400
                    (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........53     46     49     54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............79     81     83     83
RH..............54     53     53     53
20 FT WIND......S 15   SW 15  SW 15  SW 13
20 FT GUST......                     15
HAINES INDEX....3      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10
                    TO 16 MPH FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HATTING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130722.HAPPY.01/GRR