FNUS75 KRIW 230022
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDLUCK FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
622 PM MDT MON JUL 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1742 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  THE WIND WILL NOT BE AS
STRONG ON TUESDAY AS IT IS THIS EVENING AT THE FIRE. IN FACT A
MORE UPVALLEY WIND IS FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE A THREAT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.  THEN WIND BECOMING
                    DOWNVALLEY AT 4 TO 8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN WIND BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD...DECREASING TO FAIR AFTER SUNSET...
                    DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY 1100.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY 1100.
                    WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH AFTER
                    1400 WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1400
                    THEN WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1300...THE VERY GOOD BY 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WIND BECOMING
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...LANCE ROBINSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130722.HARDL.01/RIW