FNUS75 KBOU 241559 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FINCH LAKE SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 939 AM MDT WED JUL 24 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0928 MDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AROUND 1100 THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY AFTER 1500. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND COME TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 1100 UNTIL 1500...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%. WIND (20 FT)........EASTERLY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 4 UNTIL 1500...THEN 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT. LAL.................4. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FINCH LAKE SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/24-09 64 10 2 63 41 SW 5 5 5 1 W 16 3141 W 8 20656 P 07/24-10 64 41 18 66 40 SSW 3 3 5 4 W 15 5177 W 7 27339 P 07/24-11 64 41 18 67 40 SSE 3 3 4 4 W 15 7212 W 6 34023 P 07/24-12 89 54 29 68 40 SE 5 5 4 4 W 14 9248 W 5 40706 F 07/24-13 89 54 29 68 40 SE 3 3 4 4 W 13 9583 W 6 53427 F 07/24-14 89 54 29 67 40 ESE 3 3 3 4 W 12 9917 WSW 8 66148 G 07/24-15 91 63 42 66 42 SW 7 7 3 5 WNW 14 10252 WSW 9 78869 G 07/24-16 91 63 42 64 44 SW 10 10 3 5 W 22 9110 SW 8 68094 G 07/24-17 91 63 42 62 46 SW 9 9 3 5 WSW 33 7969 SW 8 57318 F 07/24-18 80 54 29 60 49 SSW 9 9 3 4 WSW 43 6828 SW 8 46543 F 07/24-19 80 54 29 58 52 SSW 8 8 3 4 WSW 47 5282 SSW 9 38159 P 07/24-20 80 54 29 56 55 SSW 8 8 3 4 WSW 48 3736 SSW 10 29775 P 07/24-21 71 44 21 54 59 SW 7 7 3 4 W 48 2191 S 12 21392 P 07/24-22 71 44 21 52 63 SW 7 7 3 4 W 47 1643 SSW 10 15511 P 07/24-23 71 44 21 51 66 WSW 6 6 3 4 W 45 1095 SW 9 9630 P 07/25-00 64 32 11 50 68 WSW 6 6 3 4 W 41 547 WSW 8 3749 P 07/25-01 64 32 11 50 68 W 7 7 3 4 W 37 505 WSW 9 3826 P 07/25-02 64 32 11 49 69 W 7 7 2 4 W 33 463 W 10 3902 P 07/25-03 64 32 11 49 68 W 8 13 2 4 W 31 421 W 10 3978 P 07/25-04 64 32 11 48 71 W 8 14 2 4 W 32 503 W 12 5354 P 07/25-05 64 32 11 47 73 W 9 14 2 4 W 35 585 W 13 6730 P 07/25-06 69 39 17 48 71 W 9 15 2 4 W 37 667 W 14 8105 P 07/25-07 69 39 17 53 59 WNW 9 15 2 4 W 37 2565 W 18 53616 F 07/25-08 69 39 17 58 49 WNW 9 15 2 4 WNW 36 4462 WNW 22 99127 G 07/25-09 69 39 17 64 40 NW 9 15 2 4 WNW 33 6360 WNW 26144637 V 07/25-10 69 39 17 67 36 NW 9 9 2 4 WNW 33 6484 WNW 24133484 V 07/25-11 69 39 17 68 35 N 8 8 2 4 WNW 33 6608 WNW 22122331 V 07/25-12 77 44 21 68 36 N 8 8 2 4 WNW 35 6733 NW 20111178 V 07/25-13 77 44 21 68 36 N 8 8 2 4 NW 35 7254 NW 18112327 V 07/25-14 77 44 21 68 37 NNW 8 8 2 4 NW 35 7775 NW 17113475 V 07/25-15 77 44 21 67 39 NNW 8 8 2 4 NW 35 8296 NW 16114624 V 07/25-16 77 44 21 66 41 NNW 7 7 2 4 NW 31 8270 NW 14100502 V 07/25-17 77 44 21 65 43 N 7 7 2 4 NW 28 8244 NNW 12 86380 G 07/25-18 74 37 15 61 50 N 6 6 2 4 NW 24 8218 N 10 72258 G 07/25-19 74 37 15 58 56 N 6 6 2 4 NW 23 7739 N 12 74594 G 07/25-20 74 37 15 55 63 N 6 6 2 4 NNW 22 7260 N 13 76930 G 07/25-21 74 27 7 52 71 N 6 6 2 4 NNW 21 6780 N 14 79266 G 07/25-22 74 27 7 50 77 NNE 5 5 2 4 NNW 22 6143 NNE 12 61324 G 07/25-23 74 27 7 49 80 ENE 3 3 3 4 NNW 22 5506 NE 8 43382 F 07/26-00 52 21 4 49 80 E 3 3 3 3 NNW 23 4869 NE 6 25441 P 07/26-01 52 21 4 49 79 ESE 3 3 3 3 NNW 24 3749 E 5 18306 P 07/26-02 52 21 4 48 81 SSW 5 5 3 3 NNW 25 2630 S 5 11171 P 07/26-03 52 21 4 48 80 WSW 6 6 3 3 NW 26 1511 SW 3 4036 P 07/26-04 52 21 4 46 85 W 6 6 3 3 NW 25 1247 SW 3 3435 P 07/26-05 52 21 4 45 87 W 6 6 3 3 NW 24 983 SW 3 2834 P 07/26-06 49 18 4 46 83 W 6 6 3 1 NW 22 720 WSW 3 2233 P 07/26-07 49 18 4 51 67 NW 6 6 3 1 NW 23 1156 WSW 3 2755 P 07/26-08 49 18 4 56 55 NNE 5 5 3 1 NW 24 1591 SW 2 3278 P 07/26-09 49 18 4 62 44 ENE 5 5 3 1 WNW 25 2027 SW 2 3801 P 07/26-10 49 18 4 65 40 E 5 5 3 1 WNW 29 3115 WSW 5 18563 P 07/26-11 49 18 4 67 37 ESE 3 3 3 1 WNW 33 4203 W 8 33325 P 07/26-12 61 26 6 68 36 ESE 3 3 3 4 WNW 37 5291 W 10 48087 F 07/26-13 61 26 6 68 36 E 3 3 3 4 WNW 38 5508 W 9 42344 F 07/26-14 61 26 6 68 35 NE 3 3 3 4 WNW 38 5725 W 7 36601 P 07/26-15 61 26 6 68 35 NNE 3 3 3 4 WNW 39 5941 W 6 30858 P 07/26-16 61 26 6 66 37 NNE 3 3 3 4 WNW 38 4900 SW 7 27125 P 07/26-17 61 26 6 65 38 N 3 3 3 4 WNW 37 3859 S 7 23392 P 07/26-18 69 33 12 63 41 N 3 3 3 4 WNW 36 2818 SSE 8 19659 P 07/26-19 69 33 12 60 46 N 3 3 3 4 WNW 35 2575 SSE 8 18133 P 07/26-20 69 33 12 58 50 NW 3 3 3 4 WNW 33 2332 S 8 16607 P 07/26-21 69 33 12 56 55 WNW 3 3 3 4 WNW 33 2090 S 8 15081 P 07/26-22 69 33 12 54 60 W 3 3 3 4 WNW 32 1770 S 8 13071 P 07/26-23 69 33 12 53 63 WSW 3 3 3 4 NW 31 1450 SSW 9 11061 P 07/27-00 61 28 8 53 64 SW 3 3 3 3 NW 30 1130 SSW 9 9051 P 07/27-01 61 28 8 52 65 SW 5 5 3 3 NW 31 779 SW 8 6168 P 07/27-02 61 28 8 51 65 WSW 5 5 3 3 NW 32 429 W 7 3285 P 07/27-03 61 28 8 50 65 WSW 6 6 3 3 WNW 33 79 W 6 401 P 07/27-04 61 28 8 48 67 W 7 7 3 3 WNW 33 157 WSW 3 372 P 07/27-05 61 28 8 48 65 W 8 8 3 3 WNW 35 235 SSW 2 342 P 07/27-06 55 30 9 50 58 W 8 8 3 4 WNW 36 313 CALM 313 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...MEIER REQUESTED BY...STADLER TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130724.FINCH.01/BOU