FNUS72 KILM 241416
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOODELL RCW UNIT...NC STATE PARKS-SILA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1016 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD...REACHING THE EASTERN CAROLINAS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE THURSDAY AND STALL. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. THE FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-53014 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............53     60     61
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................89     89     89
RH..................58     55     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........5700   6700   6000
TRANSPORT WIND......W 5    SW 7   SW 8
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...26     46     48

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-32314 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............61     62     64     66     67     68
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................87     82     77     74     72     71
RH..................59     71     83     90     90     92
20 FT WIND..........SW 4   SW 2   SW 2   W 1    W 0    N 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........4700   1700   500    100    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 5   S 1    S 0    SW 3   NW 6
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...32     8      1      0      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (114-54394 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (72450-108214 MPH-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............67     65     67     68     70     70
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................71     73     79     85     87     87
RH..................94     94     77     64     59     59
20 FT WIND..........N 2    NE 4   NE 5   N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........100    300    2200   4300   6000   6300
TRANSPORT WIND......N 8    NE 13  NE 13  N 13   N 15   N 17
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1      3      27     54     89     108

$$
FORECASTER...DIGIORGI
REQUESTED BY...KRISTEN WOODRUFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130724.WOODE.01/ILM