FNUS75 KCYS 261704
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST BATTLE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1104 AM MDT FRI JUL 26 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1027 MDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON...AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PLENTIFUL SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
FUEL THE STORMS...WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS WITH ANY
STORM THAT PASSES OVER THE SITE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY STORMS THAT PASS OVER THE BURN SITE.
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO THE LOW 20 PERCENT RANGE BOTH
DAYS...WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. GENERAL WINDS WILL REMAIN
OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 TO 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59400-148300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (3100-81600 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9-13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1800.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48700-140900 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS RANKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130726.WESTB.01/CYS