FNUS75 KBOU 300124 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLS LAKE SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 721 PM MDT MON JUL 29 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1904 MDT ON JULY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MAY STILL SEE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT THERE WILL ONLY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. WINDS WILL BE WEST AT 8-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 40S. ON TUESDAY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1200. HIGHS WILL BE AROUND 60. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........87%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8900-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 11-13 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 9-12 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILLS LAKE SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/29-19 87 52 28 53 63 W 9 15 3 4 W 20 4698 WNW 9 38267 P 07/29-20 87 52 28 49 72 W 10 16 3 4 W 20 3891 W 9 31449 P 07/29-21 87 52 28 46 79 W 10 16 3 4 W 18 3083 W 9 24631 P 07/29-22 87 52 28 45 82 W 10 16 3 4 W 21 2310 W 10 18874 P 07/29-23 87 52 28 43 87 W 10 16 3 4 W 23 1538 W 10 13116 P 07/30-00 71 23 5 43 86 W 10 16 3 2 W 25 765 W 12 7359 P 07/30-01 71 23 5 43 83 W 12 17 3 2 W 28 630 W 12 6171 P 07/30-02 71 23 5 43 81 W 12 20 3 2 W 30 494 W 12 4983 P 07/30-03 71 23 5 43 79 W 13 21 3 2 W 32 358 W 13 3795 P 07/30-04 71 23 5 43 80 W 13 21 3 2 W 32 319 W 13 3377 P 07/30-05 71 23 5 43 81 W 13 21 3 2 W 32 279 W 13 2958 P 07/30-06 58 15 3 43 82 W 13 21 3 1 W 32 239 W 13 2540 P 07/30-07 58 15 3 43 83 W 13 20 3 1 W 29 1984 W 16 40834 F 07/30-08 58 15 3 48 68 W 13 20 3 1 W 26 3728 W 21 79128 G 07/30-09 58 15 3 54 55 W 13 21 2 1 WNW 24 5472 W 24117422 V 07/30-10 58 15 3 57 49 W 14 22 3 1 W 24 6615 W 24134573 V 07/30-11 58 15 3 58 48 W 14 23 3 1 W 23 7759 W 23151724 E 07/30-12 72 42 19 59 46 W 15 24 3 4 W 22 8902 W 22168875 E 07/30-13 72 42 19 58 46 W 15 24 4 4 W 24 9053 W 21163601 E 07/30-14 72 42 19 58 45 W 15 24 4 4 W 25 9205 WNW 20158327 E 07/30-15 72 42 19 58 44 W 15 24 4 4 W 28 9356 WNW 18153053 E 07/30-16 72 42 19 59 42 W 15 24 4 4 W 28 9287 W 18153618 E 07/30-17 72 42 19 58 45 W 16 25 3 4 W 26 9217 W 20154183 E 07/30-18 64 29 8 53 54 W 16 25 3 4 W 26 9148 W 20154747 E 07/30-19 64 29 8 51 58 W 16 26 3 4 W 25 7675 W 16129008 V 07/30-20 64 29 8 50 60 W 16 26 3 4 W 25 6202 WSW 13103269 V 07/30-21 64 29 8 49 61 W 16 25 3 4 W 24 4730 SW 9 77530 G 07/30-22 64 29 8 48 64 W 15 24 3 4 W 24 3257 SSW 7 51790 F 07/30-23 64 29 8 47 67 W 14 23 3 4 W 23 1784 S 3 26051 P 07/31-00 30 5 1 46 71 W 14 22 3 1 W 22 312 CALM 312 P 07/31-01 30 5 1 46 69 W 15 23 3 1 W 23 312 CALM 312 P 07/31-02 30 5 1 46 67 W 15 24 3 1 W 23 311 CALM 311 P 07/31-03 30 5 1 45 68 W 16 25 3 1 WNW 23 311 CALM 311 P 07/31-04 30 5 1 44 69 W 16 25 2 1 WNW 23 311 CALM 311 P 07/31-05 30 5 1 44 68 W 15 23 2 1 WNW 23 310 CALM 310 P 07/31-06 50 5 1 45 65 W 14 22 2 1 WNW 24 310 CALM 310 P 07/31-07 50 5 1 49 56 W 14 22 2 1 WNW 24 2255 CALM 10147 P 07/31-08 50 5 1 53 48 W 14 14 2 1 WNW 24 4200 SSW 2 19983 P 07/31-09 50 5 1 57 42 W 13 13 3 1 WNW 24 6145 SW 2 29820 P 07/31-10 50 5 1 60 38 W 12 12 3 1 WNW 24 8090 WSW 3 39657 P 07/31-11 50 5 1 61 37 WSW 9 9 3 1 WNW 24 10035 W 5 49493 F 07/31-12 59 26 6 61 38 SW 8 8 3 3 WNW 24 11980 W 6 59330 F 07/31-13 59 26 6 61 37 SW 8 8 3 3 W 24 11684 W 6 58493 F 07/31-14 59 26 6 61 37 SSW 9 9 3 3 W 25 11388 WSW 6 57655 F 07/31-15 59 26 6 61 36 SSW 10 10 3 3 W 25 11091 SW 6 56818 F 07/31-16 59 26 6 60 38 SSW 10 10 3 3 W 25 10795 SSW 6 55980 F 07/31-17 59 26 6 58 43 SSW 9 9 3 3 W 26 10499 S 6 55142 F 07/31-18 51 21 4 56 47 S 9 9 3 2 W 26 10203 S 6 54305 F 07/31-19 51 21 4 54 50 SSW 9 9 3 2 W 28 8554 S 5 45306 F 07/31-20 51 21 4 52 52 SSW 9 9 3 2 W 29 6906 S 5 36307 P 07/31-21 51 21 4 50 56 SSW 9 9 3 2 W 29 5257 S 3 27308 P 07/31-22 51 21 4 49 61 SSW 9 9 2 2 W 30 3609 S 2 18310 P 07/31-23 51 21 4 48 68 SSW 10 10 2 2 W 31 1960 CALM 9311 P 08/01-00 29 5 1 47 74 SSW 10 10 2 1 W 32 312 CALM 312 P 08/01-01 29 5 1 48 71 SSW 12 12 2 1 W 31 312 CALM 312 P 08/01-02 29 5 1 48 70 SW 12 12 2 1 W 31 311 CALM 311 P 08/01-03 29 5 1 47 71 SW 13 13 2 1 W 30 311 CALM 311 P 08/01-04 29 5 1 46 71 SW 13 13 2 1 W 30 311 CALM 311 P 08/01-05 29 5 1 46 68 WSW 13 13 2 1 W 29 311 CALM 311 P 08/01-06 26 5 1 47 63 WSW 13 13 2 1 WNW 28 310 CALM 310 P 08/01-07 26 5 1 51 53 W 13 13 2 1 W 28 2396 CALM 15906 P 08/01-08 26 5 1 57 42 W 14 22 2 1 W 26 4481 SSW 2 31501 P 08/01-09 26 5 1 63 34 W 14 22 3 1 W 25 6567 SW 5 47096 F 08/01-10 26 5 1 66 30 W 14 22 3 1 W 24 8652 WSW 6 62692 G 08/01-11 26 5 1 67 28 W 13 13 3 1 W 24 10738 W 7 78287 G 08/01-12 58 28 8 67 28 W 13 13 3 3 W 23 12823 W 8 93882 G 08/01-13 58 28 8 67 28 W 13 13 3 3 W 22 12374 W 8 86585 G 08/01-14 58 28 8 66 30 W 14 14 3 3 W 21 11926 W 8 79288 G 08/01-15 58 28 8 65 31 W 14 22 3 3 W 21 11477 W 7 71991 G 08/01-16 58 28 8 64 33 W 14 22 3 3 W 20 11029 WNW 7 64693 G 08/01-17 58 28 8 63 35 W 14 22 3 3 W 18 10580 WNW 6 57396 F 08/01-18 57 26 6 61 38 W 14 22 3 3 W 18 10132 WNW 6 50099 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...STADLER TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130729.MILLS.01/BOU