FNUS75 KRIW 301047 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDLUCK...USFS SHF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 447 AM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1836 MDT ON JULY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY WITH BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE GENTIAN CREEK DRAINAGE NEAR THE CONFLUENCE WITH THE EAST FORK CREEK WILL BE PRONE TO STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS THAN FORECAST BASED ON ITS ORIENTATION. SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT A VERY DRY AIR MASS COULD PUSH INTO WESTERN WYOMING FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH BREEZY TO WINDY WEST ADN SOUTHWEST WINDS AT TIMES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MURRELL .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG THROUGH 9 AM BELOW 8500 FEET. OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50 PERCENT) WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 AT 8500 FT. 64 AT 10000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT ALL ELEVATIONS. 20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTIER AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOALTED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50. MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWN CANYON 4-7 MPH BY 9 PM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 AT 8500 FT. 66 AT 10000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 BY AROUND NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARM...DRY...AND BREEZY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MURRELL REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130729.HARDL.01/RIW