FNAK79 PAFG 020451
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
851 PM AKDT THU AUG 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2025 AKDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE FIRE AREA WILL
MOVE EAST INTO THE YUKON TERRITORY BY FRIDAY. A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE WILL NORTH ACROSS THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT
AND BE JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE FRI AND REMAIN THERE INTO SAT. THIS
WILL BRING A GENERAL SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW TO THE FIRE TONIGHT THROUGH SAT.

SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE FRI AND
CONTINUE INTO SAT. THE FIRE AREA IS NOT EXPECTED TO RECEIVE STRONG WINDS
BUT RH WILL FALL FRI AND REMAIN LOW FRI NIGHT INTO SAT.
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE MOIST SAT PM.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-65...COOLEST IN VALLEYS.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT...DRIEST ON RIDGES
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES...SOUTHEAST 5G15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5G15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. IN VALLEYS...EAST 5 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWN VALLEY 2-3 MPH AFTER 10PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL. IN VALLEYS FALLING TO 1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
                    THERMAL BELT ABOUT 2000 FT MSL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 TO 86...HOTTEST IN VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-27 PERCENT...DRIEST IN VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 8 G18 MPH. GUSTY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS (40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT...DRIEST ON RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 G15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-80...HOTTEST IN VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-35 PERCENT...DRIEST IN VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5G15 MPH. OVER RIDGES SW 10G23MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130801.STUAR.02/AFG