FNUS75 KBYZ 012004
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EMIGRANT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
204 PM MDT THU AUG 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1350 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 2200...
STRONG STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA AND THE
FIRE AREA WILL LIKELY SEE A VERY STRONG STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORM IMPACTING THE FIRE AREA.
STORMS WILL MOVE FAST AND LIKELY PRODUCE 60 MPH WINDS AND HAIL
THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.
STORMS WILL MOVE AROUND 40 MPH SO EXPECT RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BORSUM

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE.
CWR.................28 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................28 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATLOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130801.EMIGR.02/BYZ