FNUS75 KFGZ 031136
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNER FIRE...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
436 AM MST SAT AUG 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1939 MST ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR HAS MOVED INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA OVER THE
LAST 24 HOURS. AREAS WEST OF A PAGE TO FLAGSTAFF TO PRESCOTT LINE
SHOULD SEE ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. DEEPER MONSOON
MOISTURE MAY PUSH WESTWARD ON SUNDAY AND BRING A HIGHER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH 1000L...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WIND THROUGH 0930L THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1100L.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (96000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (62300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 6600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SEDGEMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130802.SKINN.01/FGZ