FNUS75 KFGZ 041122
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNER FIRE...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
422 AM MST SUN AUG 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2007 MST ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOON MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS NORTHWEST ARIZONA
TODAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY. THIS MEANS A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE FIRE SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (79200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (102800 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SEDGEMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130803.SKINN.01/FGZ