FNUS73 KGRR 031257
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HAPPY BLUE BUTTERFLY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PERIOD OF DRY AND COOL WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE
WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
AREA. MILDER TEMPERATURES AND THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL MOVE IN
BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7500-8000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 1200-1300
                    (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........32     38     30     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     72     73     71
RH..............59     48     44     47
20 FT WIND......N 13   NW 17  NW 18  NW 16
20 FT GUST......15     20     25     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0-300 (POOR
                    TO GOOD).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HUSCHKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130803.HAPPY.01/GRR