FNUS75 KBOU 042119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST HIKER...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 318 PM MDT SUN AUG 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1502 MDT ON AUGUST 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AT 1500 THERE WERE ONLY WEAK SHOWERS IN THE AREA...ODDS OF A STORM ARE LOW THROUGH 1630 THEN A HIGHER CHANCE AFTER THAT. LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH STORMS THOUGH HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ANY STORMS THAT DO OCCUR SHOULD BE OFF AND ON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................15 PERCENT. LAL.................4. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........98%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOST HIKER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/04-15 70 38 16 77 32 NE 7 7 3 4 WNW 14 9910 CALM 11658 P 08/04-16 70 38 16 76 34 N 7 7 3 4 WNW 13 9804 CALM 9880 P 08/04-17 70 38 16 75 36 W 6 6 3 4 W 12 9698 CALM 8103 P 08/04-18 63 38 16 72 41 SW 6 6 3 4 W 10 9592 CALM 6325 P 08/04-19 63 38 16 69 47 SW 8 8 3 4 WNW 10 9166 W 2 13359 P 08/04-20 63 30 9 64 57 SW 12 16 3 4 WNW 10 8740 WSW 2 20392 P 08/04-21 48 30 9 61 65 SW 13 20 3 4 NW 9 8315 WSW 3 27426 P 08/04-22 48 30 9 58 71 SW 10 15 3 4 NW 10 5973 WSW 5 21026 P 08/04-23 48 30 9 56 74 WSW 7 7 3 4 WNW 12 3631 SW 6 14626 P 08/05-00 48 5 1 55 74 WSW 5 5 3 1 WNW 14 1289 SW 7 8226 P 08/05-01 48 5 1 54 77 WSW 7 7 3 1 WNW 13 990 WSW 9 6784 P 08/05-02 48 5 1 52 83 W 10 15 3 1 W 12 691 W 10 5342 P 08/05-03 48 5 1 50 89 W 13 20 3 1 W 12 393 W 12 3900 P 08/05-04 48 5 1 48 96 W 13 18 3 1 W 10 365 WNW 12 3645 P 08/05-05 40 5 1 47 98 W 12 17 3 1 WNW 9 337 WNW 12 3390 P 08/05-06 40 6 1 49 89 W 10 16 3 1 WNW 9 309 WNW 12 3136 P 08/05-07 40 6 1 55 70 W 10 16 3 1 WNW 8 2946 WNW 12 27029 P 08/05-08 40 6 1 63 51 WNW 10 16 3 1 WNW 7 5583 NW 10 50922 F 08/05-09 40 6 1 71 38 NW 10 16 3 1 WNW 6 8221 NW 10 74816 G 08/05-10 54 6 1 76 31 NW 8 8 3 1 W 6 9248 NW 9 71865 G 08/05-11 54 6 1 78 29 N 7 7 3 1 WSW 6 10275 NW 8 68915 G 08/05-12 54 34 13 79 28 N 5 5 3 4 SW 6 11302 NW 7 65964 G 08/05-13 67 34 13 80 27 NNW 5 5 3 4 WSW 6 11292 NW 7 63028 G 08/05-14 67 34 13 80 28 WNW 5 5 3 4 W 7 11283 NNW 6 60093 G 08/05-15 67 34 13 79 30 W 5 5 3 4 W 7 11273 NNW 6 57157 F 08/05-16 73 34 13 78 32 WNW 5 5 3 4 W 8 10289 NW 6 51904 F 08/05-17 73 34 13 75 37 N 3 3 3 4 W 8 9306 WNW 6 46652 F 08/05-18 71 23 5 74 40 NNE 3 3 3 3 WNW 8 8323 WNW 6 41399 F 08/05-19 71 23 5 70 46 NNW 3 3 3 3 WNW 12 6107 W 6 30891 P 08/05-20 71 23 5 67 52 W 3 3 3 3 WNW 15 3892 SSW 7 20383 P 08/05-21 71 23 5 64 58 SW 3 3 3 3 WNW 18 1677 S 7 9876 P 08/05-22 52 23 5 61 66 SW 3 3 3 3 WNW 18 1235 S 7 7340 P 08/05-23 52 23 5 59 72 WSW 2 2 3 3 W 18 792 SSW 7 4804 P 08/06-00 52 6 1 58 75 WSW 2 2 3 1 W 18 350 SW 7 2268 P 08/06-01 52 6 1 57 77 WSW 2 2 3 1 WNW 18 304 SW 7 1931 P 08/06-02 52 6 1 56 79 WSW 3 3 3 1 WNW 20 258 WSW 7 1595 P 08/06-03 43 6 1 55 80 WSW 5 5 3 1 WNW 20 212 W 7 1258 P 08/06-04 43 6 1 53 83 WSW 5 5 3 1 WNW 20 200 W 8 1352 P 08/06-05 43 6 1 52 84 WSW 6 6 3 1 WNW 18 187 W 9 1446 P 08/06-06 43 5 1 53 80 WSW 6 6 3 1 NW 18 175 W 10 1539 P 08/06-07 43 5 1 59 68 W 6 6 3 1 NW 17 1835 WNW 12 24946 P 08/06-08 43 5 1 68 53 W 5 5 3 1 NW 15 3496 WNW 14 48352 F 08/06-09 43 5 1 75 43 WNW 5 5 3 1 NW 14 5156 NW 16 71758 G 08/06-10 42 5 1 80 35 WNW 5 5 3 1 NW 14 7242 NW 15 87935 G 08/06-11 42 10 2 81 31 WNW 3 3 3 2 WNW 15 9328 WNW 14104111 V 08/06-12 64 39 17 82 28 WNW 3 3 3 4 WNW 15 11415 WNW 13120287 V 08/06-13 64 39 17 82 27 NW 5 5 3 4 WNW 15 11315 WNW 12114094 V 08/06-14 79 39 17 82 27 NNW 5 5 3 4 WNW 15 11216 WNW 12107902 V 08/06-15 79 39 17 80 29 N 6 6 3 4 WNW 16 11116 WNW 10101710 V 08/06-16 79 39 17 78 32 N 6 6 3 4 WNW 15 10617 WNW 9 86852 G 08/06-17 79 39 17 75 37 NNW 6 6 3 4 NW 14 10119 WNW 8 71994 G 08/06-18 82 41 18 72 43 NNW 6 6 3 4 NW 13 9620 WNW 7 57136 F 08/06-19 82 41 18 69 48 NNW 6 6 3 4 NW 10 6584 NNW 6 38531 P 08/06-20 82 41 18 66 54 N 5 5 4 4 NW 9 3548 NNE 5 19925 P 08/06-21 82 41 18 64 58 N 5 5 4 4 NW 8 512 NE 3 1319 P 08/06-22 82 41 18 61 65 N 5 5 4 4 W 6 927 NE 8 9785 P 08/06-23 82 41 18 60 67 N 3 3 3 4 SW 5 1343 NE 13 18250 P 08/07-00 71 41 18 58 72 N 3 3 3 4 S 2 1758 NE 17 26716 P 08/07-01 71 41 18 57 75 N 3 3 3 4 SSW 3 2095 NE 16 29402 P 08/07-02 71 41 18 55 80 NNW 3 3 2 4 SW 5 2432 NE 15 32088 P 08/07-03 71 41 18 54 83 NNW 2 2 2 4 SW 6 2769 NNE 15 34774 P 08/07-04 71 41 18 52 88 NW 2 2 2 4 W 6 2533 NE 10 25300 P 08/07-05 71 41 18 51 89 NW 2 2 2 4 NW 5 2297 NE 7 15825 P 08/07-06 72 33 12 52 86 NW 2 2 2 4 N 5 2060 NE 3 6351 P 08/07-07 72 33 12 55 81 WNW 2 2 2 4 N 7 2067 E 3 6762 P 08/07-08 72 33 12 59 75 W 2 2 2 4 N 10 2073 S 3 7173 P 08/07-09 72 33 12 64 65 WSW 2 2 2 4 N 13 2079 SSW 5 7584 P 08/07-10 72 33 12 67 57 SW 2 2 2 4 NNE 10 3467 SW 6 21245 P 08/07-11 72 33 12 70 48 S 2 2 2 4 NNE 8 4854 W 7 34906 P 08/07-12 76 44 21 72 43 S 2 2 2 4 NE 6 6242 W 9 48567 F 08/07-13 76 44 21 73 41 SSE 3 3 2 4 NE 6 5856 W 8 41655 F 08/07-14 76 44 21 73 41 ESE 3 3 2 4 NE 7 5469 WSW 7 34742 P 08/07-15 76 44 21 73 41 E 5 5 2 4 NE 8 5083 WSW 6 27829 P 08/07-16 76 44 21 72 43 SE 5 5 2 4 NNE 8 4686 WSW 7 25820 P 08/07-17 76 44 21 71 45 SSW 5 5 3 4 NNE 9 4289 WSW 7 23811 P 08/07-18 70 36 14 68 51 WSW 5 5 3 4 N 9 3892 WSW 7 21802 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...MANDY SCHAUDT TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130804.LOSTH.01/BOU