FNUS75 KRIW 051200 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDLUCK...SHOSHONE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 600 AM MDT MON AUG 5 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2010 MDT ON AUGUST 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY LOOKS DRY AT THE FIRE SITE WITH SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT WOULD FORM THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE EAST AND NORTH OF THE FIRE. A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM MAY OCCUR NEAR THE FIRE SITE BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY LOOKS TO STAY TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...GUSTY OUTFLOW WIND FROM THE NORTH COULD BLOW UP THE SOUTH FORK AND IMPACT THE FIRE THIS EVENING. BE SURE TO KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT AND POTENTIAL ERRATIC WINDS. TUESDAY LOOKS COOLER AND DRY WITH LIGHTER WIND BLOWING UP CANYON THROUGH SHF-2 WEATHER SITE BUT NOT AT SHF-1...WHERE A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND SHOULD OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...AR .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER 1300. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78 AROUND 8500 FEET...64-68 AROUND 10000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........9-13 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100. WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1100. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1100. WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1100 WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS FROM THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST TO 40 MPH FROM STORMS THAT ARE FORECAST TO FORM TO THE NORTH FIRE SITE AFTER 1400. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 AFTER 1400. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.1 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9500-10500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200. WEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (128100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (313700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE SITE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST AT 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET. WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL SUNSET. WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0300. NORTHWEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER 0300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS FROM THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST TO 40 MPH FROM STORMS THAT ARE FORECAST TO FORM TO THE NORTH FIRE SITE IN THE EVENING HOURS. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.1 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700-1700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH UNTIL SUNSET...THEN NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT...DECREASING TO FAIR BY MIDNIGHT... DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75 AROUND 8500 FEET...61 TO 65 AT 10000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH AFTER 1100 WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200. THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 12 TO 17 MPH AFTER 1200 WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8100-9100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200. WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...THEN GOOD BY 1300... THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1500. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 45. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH AND DOWNVALLEY. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AROUND 8500 FEET...LOW TO MID 60S AT 10000 FEET. UPVALLEY WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S...60S AT 10000 FEET. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS 70 TO 75...AROUND 60 AT 10000 FEET. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ROSS REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130804.HARDL.01/RIW