FNUS73 KUNR 050244
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR EDWARDS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
844 PM MDT SUN AUG 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2025 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING NEAR THE FIRE SITE. HOWEVER...MOST ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
TO THE SOUTH. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT...REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT AT 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS WILL START
OUT EASTERLY MONDAY...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE
MORNING AT 10 TO 15 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO RECOVER
TONIGHT TO AROUND 80-85 PERCENT...SHARPLY FALLING LATE MONDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON TO AROUND 25 PERCENT UNDER DEEP MIXING.
THE HAINES INDEX WILL APPROACH 6 MONDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY EVENING.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 TO 10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...SELL  IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130804.EDWAR.01/UNR