FNUS72 KILM 061343 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SILA LAKE UNIT...NC STATE PARKS-SILA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 943 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A LOW CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE RAIN WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE BURN LOCATION...BUT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR AT THE SITE...ESPECIALLY BEFORE 4PM. SOME LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IF RAIN OCCURS LATER TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL MOVE FARTHER OUT TO SEA THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT A RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AIR MASS WILL MOISTEN LATER THIS WEEK AS WINDS GRADUALLY TURN MORE SOUTHERLY. A PIEDMONT TROUGH WILL DEVELOP INLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT MAY APPROACH FROM THE NORTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (23460-52669 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............68 72 71 66 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................80 83 84 84 RH..................56 53 52 50 20 FT WIND..........SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........2900 4900 5800 5100 TRANSPORT WIND......S 8 S 8 S 8 S 9 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...23 39 47 47 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-37260 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 63 68 62 46 54 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................83 78 74 71 70 69 RH..................55 69 82 90 91 93 20 FT WIND..........SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3600 300 BLW100 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 10 S 12 S 10 SE 9 SE 8 SE 7 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...37 3 0 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (690-50139 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD (62329-68540 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............58 56 59 58 57 60 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 72 79 85 87 87 RH..................96 87 68 57 53 52 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 2 SE 3 SE 5 S 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 300 1800 3900 5500 6000 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 9 SE 12 SE 12 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 1 12 36 63 69 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...KRISTEN WOODRUFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130806.SILAL.01/ILM