FNUS75 KRIW 070943
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACKER CREEK...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
343 AM MDT WED AUG 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2228 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SIMILAR TRENDS IN
TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY...WINDS TRENDING LIGHTER.
HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD
OF A DISTURBANCE LIFTING OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. EXTENSIVE
HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE BEST CHANCE OF RECEIVING
WETTING RAINS WILL BE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY OR SOUTH 4-7 MPH BY 0900...BECOMING
                    WEST NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-9500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-74 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY OR NORTH 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                    10 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-29 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY OR SOUTH 4-7 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    WEST NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-9500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...ROD DYKEHOUSE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130806.PACKE.01/RIW