FNUS76 KEKA 080419
FWSEKA

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANCE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
919 PM PDT WED AUG 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2038 PDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN EUREKA AT (707) 443-6484.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW MOVING TOWARD NW CALIFORNIA WILL BRING A THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO FIRE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH A DEEP UNSTABLE
LAYER EXPECTED...THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING TO THE REGION. THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY WILL
HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
ANY THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAIN...
POSSIBLE HAIL...AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR AGAIN ON FRIDAY BUT THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE AMOUNT OF THUNDERSTORMS. ONLY A FEW
STORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN BORDERING SISKIYOU COUNTY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...ORLEANS RD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130807.DANCE.01/EKA