FNUS72 KILM 071648 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SILA RX FIRE...NC STATE PARKS-SILA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1248 PM EDT WED AUG 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON AUGUST 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WILL MOVE FARTHER OFFSHORE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTH CAROLINA WILL FINALLY DISSIPATE THURSDAY...ALLOWING WINDS TO VEER MORE SOUTHERLY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR TO SPREAD INTO THE CAROLINAS. A PIEDMONT TROUGH WILL DEVELOP INLAND SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND A COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE AT THE COAST AND HIGH INLAND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............53. MAX LVORI...........1. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (50599-64859 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............52 46 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................84 86 85 RH..................56 55 59 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 MIX HGT (FT)........4400 5100 4500 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 12 SE 13 S 12 LVORI...............1 1 1 ADI.................33 53 45 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...51 65 51 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. MAX ADI.............34. MAX LVORI...........9. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-32429 MPH-FT). MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............50 53 52 52 51 52 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................84 78 75 73 71 70 RH..................62 76 86 92 95 98 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3100 300 BLW100 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 10 S 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 7 SE 5 LVORI...............1 3 5 6 8 9 ADI.................34 5 4 4 3 2 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...32 2 0 2 2 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............45. MAX LVORI...........9. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (690-50024 MPH-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............52 52 55 57 60 63 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................70 73 80 86 88 88 RH..................100 94 75 61 63 56 20 FT WIND..........SE 1 E 1 SE 2 SE 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 300 1500 3100 4200 4300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 5 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 10 S 12 LVORI...............9 6 3 2 1 1 ADI.................2 4 9 20 40 44 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 1 8 25 44 49 $$ FORECASTER...HAWKINS REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130807.SILAR.01/ILM