FNUS73 KDLH 081037
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR ISLAND RX...USFS SUPERIOR NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
537 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BURN LOCATION BY
MID MORNING. ALTHOUGH REDEVELOPMENT OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM NEAR THE BURN LOCATION CANNOT COMPLETELY BE RULED OUT
FROM MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON...CHANCES APPEAR TO BE EXTREMELY
LOW. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD BECOME
WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BY MIDDAY. SIMILAR TO
WEDNESDAY...SOME LOCAL GUSTS IN THE 14-18 MPH RANGE ARE
POSSIBLE...WITH MAIN EFFECTS IN AREAS EXPOSED TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST BY ADJACENT WATER OR ELEVATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21800) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (122900)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (161400) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (143800) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............63     65     65     65
RH..............65     54     50     50
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.8      10     10     9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 3
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69700) DECREASING TO POOR (1150) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN
                    INCREASING TO POOR (3500) LATE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............64     58     53     51     49     49
RH..............56     72     83     89     93     93
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..6      4      2      2      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.7      5

$$
FORECASTER...DAN
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130808.BEARI.01/DLH