FNUS76 KMFR 081811
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR 491 SUGAR PINE...OR-MIC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1111 AM PDT THU AUG 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1042 PDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY...
...ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS...
...HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
   AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OVER THE INCIDENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CASCADES AND DRIFT INTO THE
VICINITY OF THE INCIDENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF A
CELL GOES RIGHT OVER THE FIRE, A WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY. CAUTION
IS URGED TODAY SINCE HAIL, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS, AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE GRADUALLY
DECREASING AND HUMIDITIES INCREASING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. POSSIBLE HAIL...
                    BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. POSSIBLE HAIL...
                    BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DEB MCGUIRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130808.491SU.01/MFR