FNUS72 KRAH 081601 AAA FWSRAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NCDA-WHITE WOODS...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1201 PM EDT THU AUG 8 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON AUGUST 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .REST OF TODAY... GIVEN A 10 KT SSW OR SW FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON... THE SEABREEZE MAY HAVE DIFFICULTY PENETRATING AS FAR INLAND AS THE BURN SITE IN NORTH-CENTRAL SAMPSON COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND COUNTY BORDER...AND IT WOULD APPEAR THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF ISOLD CONVECTION ALONG THE SEABREEZE WOULD LARGELY BE CONFINED TO BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...AND ONSLOW COUNTIES. HOWEVER...GIVEN MODERATE ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY...IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM COULD AFFECT THE BURN SITE...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 900 PM THIS EVENING. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........84 AT IGNITION...MAX 90. RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3-5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...SHOULD ANY DEVELOP. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL BY PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............25 29 34 39 41 44 46 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................82 84 86 88 89 89 88 RH..................75 68 63 59 56 56 57 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................24 24 24 39 39 39 33 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIOR TO 1000 PM. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72. RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......RAPIDLY DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL ROUGHLY AN HOUR PRIOR TO SUNSET AND PERSISTING AT NEAR 250 FT THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............49 52 56 57 59 61 62 64 64 63 63 62 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH TEMP................87 85 82 80 78 77 77 76 75 75 74 74 RH..................61 65 73 79 84 85 85 87 91 90 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 ADI.................33 33 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND PERSISTING INTO THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......RAPIDLY INCREASING FROM 250 FT TO 1500-2500 FT BETWEEN 800 AM AND NOON...FURTHER INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT BY PEAK HEATING (200-400 PM). TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 61 63 65 67 68 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................73 75 81 86 88 89 RH..................97 94 79 66 61 57 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 3 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............8 5 5 3 1 1 ADI.................2 6 6 25 38 38 $$ FORECASTER...VINCENT REQUESTED BY...JOHN MEWBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130808.NCDAW.01/RAH