FNUS75 KRIW 091128
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
528 AM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1946 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GIVE
WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AFTER 0800. THE FIRE AREA WILL THEN SEE
ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED. LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A
THREAT TO THE FIRE AREA. ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS OR
STORMS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AS WELL WITH GUSTY WIND AND LIGHTNING
THE MAIN THREATS. THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL TEND TO FORM ALONG THE
TETON RANGE AND MOVE NORTH ALONG THE RANGE BOTH DAYS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER 0800. INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 13 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH NEAR STORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD BY 1200...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY...TURNING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-64 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TO
                    40 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    SUNSET.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AFTER SUNSET...BECOMING
                    POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. INCREASE IN
                    CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS TO 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 13 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH NEAR STORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8500-9500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200...BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR.  HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...WILKINS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130808.MOOSE.01/RIW