FNUS75 KBOI 100457
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR PONY COMPLEX...BOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1057 PM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2141 PDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REACHING THE FIRE AREA FROM
THE WEST BY 2300 MDT...WESTERLY GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH EXPECTED.  LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT SIMILAR WEATHER TO FRIDAY.  LIGHT
EAST OR NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS AROUND SUNRISE WILL ALLOW SMOKE TO
DRAIN TOWARD THE UPPER TREASURE VALLEY BUT AIR QUALITY SHOULD IMPROVE
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON DUE TO VENTILATION AND DEEPER MIXING.  SMOKE
PLUME LIKELY TO REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON AND CARRIED NORTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57 TO 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........31 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WEST WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
                    THEN EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84 TO 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 EXCELLENT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........31 TO 38 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...50 POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...COLIN
REQUESTED BY...INTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130809.PONYC.01/BOI