FNUS74 KEPZ 091328
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FT STANTON RX  PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
728 AM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH MOIST
UNSTABLE AIR INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY. AS
A RESULT THERE WILL BE INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION FROM MID AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT TODAY AND SATURDAY
WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH EXCEPT FOR WINDS POSSIBLY GUSTING
UP TO 60 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. THE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL WILL CLIMB
TO A VALUE OF 4 LATER TODAY AND REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL THROUGH THE
REQUESTED FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN VERY WARM MOSTLY
DRY WEATHER WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......73500 KT-FT (GOOD).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......99000 KT-FT (GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...LANEY
REQUESTED BY...LARRY ASHLEY
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130809.FTSTA.01/EPZ