FNUS75 KFGZ 101238 CCA
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNER FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
540 AM MST SAT AUG 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1920 MST ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE
TODAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
IN THE MORNING. OTHERWISE...DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE FIRE
SITE TODAY. OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW ANY CRITICAL VALUES.
INCREASING MOISTURE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE SITE
ON SUNDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79 TO 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 12 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (215100 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 TO 75 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 TO 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 TO 10
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (116000 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...DB
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SEDGEMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130809.SKINN.01/FGZ