FNAK79 PAFG 111446
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK 2...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
646 AM AKDT SUN AUG 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0126 AKDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT JUST EAST OF THE FIRE WILL MOVE OVER THE
FIRE TODAY AND MOVE WEST OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING. A THERMAL
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON
AND MOVE NORTHEAST OF THE FIRE TONIGHT AND MON. THIS WILL CAUSE
WINDS TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY THEN BECOMING WESTERLY
THIS EVENING THROUGH MON.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE FIRE AREA MONDAY BRINGING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS.
A SECOND UPPER LEVEL FEATURE MAY MOVE OVER THE FIRE TUE NIGHT AND WED
BRINGING A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN THEN.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 75...WARMEST IN VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 45 PERCENT...DRIEST IN VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........UP SLOPE 3-5 MPH. ABOVE 2500 FT SOUTHWEST 10G15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 55...COOLEST IN VALLEYS.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT...DRIEST ON RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTS 12 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 72...WARMEST IN VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 TO 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT ZIEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130811.STUAR.01/AFG