FNUS75 KBOI 112225
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR THUNDER CITY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
425 PM MDT SUN AUG 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1558 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...
AT 4 PM MDT THUNDERSTORMS WERE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH.
STORMS MAY REACH THE FIRE SITE BY 6 PM BUT OUTFLOW WINDS TO 30 MPH
MAY GET THERE FIRST.  INITIAL OUTFLOW WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE FROM
THE SOUTHEAST OR EAST WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS ARE.  LESS THAN .10
INCH OF RAIN EXPECTED.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DIE DOWN AFTER SUNSET.
EVEN SO...THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...AND A BETTER CHANCE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
                    THUNDERSTORM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 TO 63 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...25 POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 TO 24 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...COLIN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CHURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130811.THUND.01/BOI