FNUS75 KBYZ 112151
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EMIGRANT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
351 PM MDT SUN AUG 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1519 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HOTTER AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BUT ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST
EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY
BETTER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH MORE ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES
PUSHING ACROSS THE BURN SITE EACH EVENING. 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. OTHERWISE...ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS
SHOULD BE SLOPE DOMINANT WITH OCCASIONAL THERMAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
EACH AFTERNOON. RH RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR TONIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH ONLY MODERATE RECOVERIES FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHTS. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE TEENS THROUGH
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD/CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...SHELBY MAJORS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130811.EMIGR.01/BYZ