FNUS75 KMSO 112132
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER GRADE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
332 PM MDT SUN AUG 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1509 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHTS FORECAST WILL BE TRICKY DUE TO ONCOMING
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. TIMING WILL BE THE TRICKIEST PART.
SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY SPREADING NORTHWARD, WITH STRONGER CELLULAR
STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING, LIKELY AFTER
1800. WE ARE EXPECTING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WITH
STORMS - IN ADDITION TO ABUNDANT LIGHTNING. STORMS WILL BE MOVING
FAIRLY SLOW, SO ACTIVITY COULD LAST WELL INTO THE NIGHT.

CONDITIONS SHOULD QUIET DOWN BEFORE SUNRISE, WITH FAIRLY BENIGN
CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON AGAIN, BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SCENARIO AS CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY HIGH
IN STORMS IMPACTING THIS FIRE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UNDER
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UNDER
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...HAUN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130811.BAKER.01/MSO