FNUS75 KMSO 112210
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDER CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
410 PM MDT SUN AUG 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1555 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT THE FIRE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
LIKELY OVERNIGHT AS WELL. SOME CELLULAR STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG, PARTICULARLY BETWEEN 1600-1900. STORMS WILL BE MOVING
FAIRLY SLOW, SO ANY RAINFALL THAT FALLS COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES.
CONFIDENCE IN WETTING RAINS, HOWEVER, IS NOT ALL THAT HIGH. WE
EXPECT MOSTLY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO OCCUR FROM STORMS THIS
EVENING.

CONDITIONS WILL CALM DOWN AFTER MIDNIGHT OR SO...WITH MOSTLY QUIET
WEATHER LASTING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR YET AGAIN DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 6-8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-11 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...IC BARNES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130811.CEDER.01/MSO