FNAK79 PAFG 140324
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
724 PM AKDT TUE AUG 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1854 AKDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE YUKON IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WEDNESDAY AS A
DISTURBANCE ALOFT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS WELL AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...COX
REQUESTED BY...GLEN LEWIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130813.BIRCH.01/AFG