FNAK79 PAFG 141301
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRATER CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
501 AM AKDT WED AUG 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2052 AKDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION....THERMAL TROUGH CONTINUES TO WOBBLE AROUND OVER THE
YUKON FLATS EXTENDING EAST INTO THE YUKON. UPPER RIDGE IS RECEDING
BACK INTO CANADA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER TODAY
THEN LOWER THURSDAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH WINDS AT
                    3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......250 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL AFTER 1 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS ENDING OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO
                    8 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......250 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BERG
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130813.CRATE.01/AFG