FNAK79 PAFG 140452
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
852 PM AKDT TUE AUG 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2011 AKDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE YUKON IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WEDNESDAY AS A
DISTURBANCE ALOFT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AS WELL AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP TO AROUND BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY OF RH
WILL BE BETWEEN 85 AND 90 PERCENT TONIGHT AND NEAR 90 PERCENT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A THERMAL TROUGH NORTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
WILL CAUSE WEST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.
HIGHER DEW POINTS ALONG WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...COX
REQUESTED BY...ADAM KOHLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130813.STUAR.01/AFG