FNUS73 KAPX 141224 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LEINSTER RED PINE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 824 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL GENERALLY START NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...AND BACK TO THE WEST THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIGHT...BUT CONSTANT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. WITH THE FLAT EXPOSURE...EXPECTING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LOCAL AFFECTS. ALSO WITH THE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 60S TODAY...NO LAKE BREEZE IS EXPECTED OFF LAKE HURON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7700 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1300). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 48 54 61 64 61 54 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 65 67 68 68 68 69 69 RH..............62 56 51 46 42 40 40 42 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 SMOKE DISP......600 1000120012001300130013001200 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 33 26 25 23 21 18 16 15 14 12 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............68 66 63 58 53 49 47 45 44 43 42 42 RH..............46 52 59 66 74 86 93 96 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........8 5 7 13 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 53 64 72 76 77 RH..............93 83 60 44 33 31 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 0 300 700 800 700 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130814.LEINS.01/APX