FNUS72 KMFL 141218 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR CPI 1...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 818 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENING TODAY, THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. LOOKING FOR CONVECTION TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AND 3 PM, ALTHOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE TO HAPPEN WITH A COUPLE OF HOURS ON EITHER SIDE OF THIS. COVERAGE WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE BURN AREA THE MOST LIKELY TO SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 4 AND 8 PM. THE CONVECTION WILL NEARLY BE STATIONARY OVER THE AREA AS THIS IS IN THE GENERAL VICINITY THE GULF AND SEA BREEZES COLLIDE. THERE MAY BE SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE WEST IF ANYTHING. THERE IS AROUND A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SEEING CONVECTION BETWEEN THE 4 AND 8 PM TIME FRAME, AND THIS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE, ACCORDING TO SOME MODELS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 44 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........0 6 31 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP............76 86 93 94 93 89 RH..............85 59 47 46 47 54 20 FT WIND......SE 0 SE 0 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 4000 4900 5000 5000 4500 MIXNG WIND......SE 0 SE 0 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 DISPERSION IDX..3 3 29 44 44 32 LVORI...........4 4 2 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 30 40 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. WIND (20FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 1 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....3. LVORI...............6. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING THE 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 31 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...IPPOLITI REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130814.CPI1_.01/MFL