FNUS75 KBOU 151617 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS PEAK RESCUE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1007 AM MDT THU AUG 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0930 MDT ON AUGUST 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THEY WILL HAVE RELATIVELY HIGH CLOUD BASES...SO MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED THOUGH THE SUMMIT COULD BE BRIEFLY IN CLOUD IF A STORM PASSES. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS THOUGH SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. OVERALL THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND DURATION SHOULD BE PRETTY LIMITED TODAY. DECREASING CLOUDS WITH A LOWER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800. FORECAST WINDS IN THE TABLE AT THE BOTTOM ARE FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...SEE TEXT FOR SUMMIT CONDITIONS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-62 MIN HUMIDITY........25-35%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ABOVE 12 THOUSAND FEET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0300...THEN CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-45. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH...GUSTS TO 25 MPH ABOVE 12 THOUSAND FEET. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGS PEAK RESCUE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/15-10 23 8 2 60 28 WNW 10 16 3 1 NW 33 5396 WNW 15 81275 G 08/15-11 23 8 2 61 27 NW 8 14 3 1 NW 35 9388 NW 17145402 V 08/15-12 51 16 3 62 26 NW 7 7 3 3 NW 36 13379 NW 18209529 E 08/15-13 51 16 3 63 24 NW 7 7 3 3 NW 35 13363 NW 17199826 E 08/15-14 51 16 3 64 23 NW 7 7 3 3 NW 35 13347 NW 16190123 E 08/15-15 51 16 3 64 23 NNW 7 7 3 3 NW 33 13331 NW 16180420 E 08/15-16 54 16 3 62 26 NNW 7 7 3 3 NW 32 12569 NW 14157091 E 08/15-17 54 16 3 60 31 NNW 7 7 3 3 WNW 31 11806 NNW 13133761 V 08/15-18 54 8 2 57 37 NNW 7 7 3 1 WNW 30 11044 NNW 12110431 V 08/15-19 54 8 2 54 41 NNW 5 5 3 1 WNW 31 9310 NNW 12 91651 G 08/15-20 48 8 2 51 45 NNW 2 2 3 1 NW 32 7575 N 12 72870 G 08/15-21 48 8 2 49 48 CALM 1 3 1 NW 32 5841 N 10 54089 F 08/15-22 48 6 1 48 50 CALM 1 3 1 NW 32 4773 NNE 8 39305 P 08/15-23 48 6 1 47 53 W 2 2 3 1 NNW 31 3704 ENE 7 24522 P 08/16-00 16 6 1 46 56 WSW 3 3 3 1 NNW 31 2636 E 5 9739 P 08/16-01 16 6 1 46 55 WSW 5 5 3 1 NNW 30 1895 SE 6 7401 P 08/16-02 16 6 1 46 53 W 6 6 3 1 NNW 28 1154 SW 7 5064 P 08/16-03 10 6 1 45 53 W 7 7 3 1 NNW 26 413 W 8 2726 P 08/16-04 10 6 1 44 53 W 7 7 3 1 NNW 25 380 WSW 5 1922 P 08/16-05 10 6 1 44 51 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 24 347 SSW 2 1118 P 08/16-06 12 4 1 45 47 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 23 314 CALM 314 P 08/16-07 12 4 1 49 39 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 21 630 SSW 2 3286 P 08/16-08 12 4 1 54 32 NW 6 6 3 1 N 20 946 W 6 6257 P 08/16-09 12 4 1 58 28 NW 6 6 3 1 N 17 1262 NW 8 9228 P 08/16-10 12 4 1 61 26 W 5 5 3 1 NNW 17 5440 NW 8 39491 P 08/16-11 12 4 1 63 25 SW 3 3 3 1 NNW 17 9617 NW 8 69753 G 08/16-12 63 19 4 64 26 S 2 2 3 3 NNW 16 13795 NNW 8100016 V 08/16-13 63 19 4 64 26 SSW 2 2 3 3 NW 18 12959 NW 7 76415 G 08/16-14 63 19 4 64 26 SW 2 2 3 3 NW 20 12122 WNW 5 52814 F 08/16-15 63 19 4 63 26 WSW 2 2 3 3 NW 22 11286 W 3 29213 P 08/16-16 63 19 4 61 27 W 2 2 3 3 NW 22 11002 W 3 33200 P 08/16-17 63 19 4 58 29 WNW 2 2 3 3 WNW 22 10718 W 3 37188 P 08/16-18 59 18 4 55 31 NW 2 2 3 3 WNW 22 10434 W 5 41176 F 08/16-19 59 18 4 52 34 NW 3 3 3 3 WNW 20 8122 WSW 6 35032 P 08/16-20 59 18 4 50 37 WNW 6 6 3 3 WNW 18 5810 SSW 7 28888 P 08/16-21 59 4 1 48 40 WNW 8 13 3 1 WNW 17 3498 S 8 22745 P 08/16-22 59 4 1 47 42 WNW 8 8 3 1 WNW 17 2911 S 7 18755 P 08/16-23 23 4 1 47 42 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 17 2325 S 7 14766 P 08/17-00 23 4 1 47 42 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 17 1739 SSW 7 10776 P 08/17-01 23 4 1 47 41 W 8 8 3 1 NW 17 1280 SW 8 8211 P 08/17-02 23 4 1 47 39 WNW 10 16 3 1 NNW 16 822 WSW 9 5647 P 08/17-03 23 4 1 47 39 WNW 12 17 3 1 N 15 363 W 9 3082 P 08/17-04 23 4 1 46 41 WNW 10 16 3 1 N 13 293 W 9 2391 P 08/17-05 23 4 1 45 44 WNW 8 8 3 1 N 10 222 WNW 8 1701 P 08/17-06 24 7 1 46 43 WNW 7 7 3 1 N 8 151 WNW 8 1011 P 08/17-07 24 7 1 50 37 WNW 7 7 3 1 N 8 1139 WNW 8 8955 P 08/17-08 24 7 1 55 31 W 7 7 2 1 NW 8 2127 WNW 9 16899 P 08/17-09 24 7 1 60 25 W 8 8 2 1 NW 8 3114 WNW 9 24844 P 08/17-10 24 7 1 64 21 WSW 9 9 2 1 NW 12 6161 WNW 8 37086 P 08/17-11 24 7 1 65 20 S 10 15 3 1 NW 14 9207 W 7 49329 F 08/17-12 45 15 3 66 19 SSE 10 16 3 3 NW 17 12253 W 6 61571 G 08/17-13 45 15 3 66 19 S 9 15 3 3 WNW 18 12640 W 6 59857 F 08/17-14 45 15 3 65 20 S 8 8 3 3 WNW 18 13028 WSW 5 58144 F 08/17-15 45 15 3 64 21 SSW 7 7 3 3 WNW 20 13415 WSW 5 56430 F 08/17-16 45 15 3 61 23 SSW 5 5 3 3 WNW 18 12964 SW 6 61368 G 08/17-17 45 15 3 58 27 SW 3 3 3 3 WNW 17 12512 SSW 6 66306 G 08/17-18 43 15 3 55 30 WSW 2 2 3 3 W 16 12061 SSW 7 71245 G 08/17-19 43 15 3 53 32 WSW 3 3 3 3 W 15 8685 SSW 8 52581 F 08/17-20 43 15 3 51 35 W 5 5 3 3 W 14 5309 S 8 33917 P 08/17-21 43 5 1 49 37 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 13 1933 S 9 15254 P 08/17-22 43 5 1 48 39 W 9 9 3 1 W 14 1484 SSW 8 11441 P 08/17-23 43 5 1 47 40 W 10 15 3 1 W 15 1035 WSW 8 7628 P 08/18-00 40 5 1 47 40 WNW 12 17 3 1 W 15 586 WSW 8 3815 P 08/18-01 40 5 1 47 41 WNW 12 17 3 1 W 15 496 W 8 3409 P 08/18-02 40 5 1 47 42 WNW 12 17 3 1 W 15 406 W 9 3004 P 08/18-03 40 5 1 47 43 WNW 10 16 3 1 W 16 315 W 9 2598 P 08/18-04 40 5 1 46 45 W 10 15 3 1 W 16 316 WSW 6 1837 P 08/18-05 40 5 1 46 46 W 9 9 3 1 W 17 316 SSW 3 1077 P 08/18-06 44 13 3 47 45 W 8 8 3 2 WSW 18 316 CALM 316 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130815.LONGS.01/BOU