FNUS75 KBOU 161639 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS PEAK SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 625 AM MDT FRI AUG 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0608 MDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST. STILL ON TRACK TO SEE ISOLATED STORMS AFTER 1200. MORNING WEATHER BALLOON LAUNCH SHOWED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH AT 12000-15000 FEET. .PREVIOUS DISCUSSON...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE STATE TODAY. THIS WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 1200. THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND OVER EXPOSED AREAS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-64. MIN HUMIDITY........22-32%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS T0 25 MPH...DECREASING AFTER 1200 ABOVE 12000 FEET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. WIND (20 FT)........WESTERLY 5 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 1200 FEET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGS PEAK RESCUE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/16-10 4 0 1 57 28 NNW 5 5 3 1 NNW 17 5603 NW 8 42982 F 08/16-11 4 0 1 60 26 NNE 2 2 3 1 NW 17 9621 NW 9 75248 G 08/16-12 65 15 3 62 24 CALM 1 3 3 NW 18 13640 NNW 9107514 V 08/16-13 65 15 3 63 23 CALM 1 3 3 NW 21 13234 NW 7 86320 G 08/16-14 65 15 3 64 22 CALM 1 3 3 NW 23 12829 NW 6 65126 G 08/16-15 65 15 3 63 22 SE 2 2 3 3 WNW 24 12424 NW 5 43931 F 08/16-16 65 15 3 62 24 ESE 2 2 3 3 WNW 23 11901 WNW 3 38455 P 08/16-17 65 15 3 59 27 ESE 2 2 3 3 WNW 21 11378 WSW 3 32979 P 08/16-18 54 17 3 56 30 ESE 2 2 3 3 WNW 18 10855 SW 3 27503 P 08/16-19 54 17 3 54 33 SE 2 2 3 3 WNW 18 8090 SSW 5 24514 P 08/16-20 54 17 3 51 37 SSW 2 2 3 3 WNW 18 5324 S 7 21524 P 08/16-21 54 4 1 50 40 SW 2 2 3 1 WNW 20 2558 S 8 18535 P 08/16-22 54 4 1 48 41 SW 2 2 3 1 WNW 20 2133 S 8 15211 P 08/16-23 27 4 1 48 44 SW 3 3 3 1 NW 18 1708 S 8 11887 P 08/17-00 27 4 1 48 44 SW 5 5 3 1 NW 17 1283 S 8 8563 P 08/17-01 27 4 1 48 44 WSW 6 6 3 1 NW 16 957 SSW 8 6448 P 08/17-02 27 4 1 48 44 W 7 7 3 1 NW 14 631 WSW 8 4333 P 08/17-03 27 4 1 47 45 W 8 13 3 1 NNW 13 305 W 8 2218 P 08/17-04 27 4 1 46 46 W 8 14 3 1 NNW 12 215 W 8 1564 P 08/17-05 27 4 1 46 45 W 8 13 3 1 NNW 10 125 W 8 911 P 08/17-06 24 7 1 46 43 WNW 8 13 3 1 NNW 9 35 WNW 8 257 P 08/17-07 24 7 1 48 38 WNW 8 13 3 1 NNW 9 2482 W 6 1895 P 08/17-08 24 7 1 52 30 WNW 8 13 3 1 WNW 9 4928 S 2 3534 P 08/17-09 24 7 1 56 24 WNW 8 13 3 1 WNW 9 7375 CALM 5172 P 08/17-10 24 7 1 59 23 W 7 7 3 1 WNW 9 9729 CALM 6792 P 08/17-11 24 7 1 62 22 SSW 7 7 3 1 W 9 12084 CALM 8413 P 08/17-12 44 0 0 64 23 S 6 6 3 1 W 9 14438 CALM 10033 P 08/17-13 44 0 0 66 22 S 6 6 3 1 W 10 14011 CALM 11854 P 08/17-14 44 0 0 66 22 S 5 5 3 1 W 10 13583 CALM 13676 P 08/17-15 45 10 2 67 21 S 5 5 3 2 W 12 13156 CALM 15497 P 08/17-16 45 10 2 67 22 S 3 3 3 2 WNW 13 12728 CALM 17318 P 08/17-17 45 10 2 66 24 CALM 1 3 2 WNW 13 12300 S 2 19140 P 08/17-18 41 9 2 64 27 CALM 1 3 1 WNW 14 11873 S 2 20961 P 08/17-19 41 9 2 60 31 SSE 3 3 3 1 WNW 14 9946 CALM 17520 P 08/17-20 41 9 2 57 34 SW 7 7 3 1 WNW 14 8020 CALM 14079 P 08/17-21 36 11 2 54 38 W 9 15 3 1 W 15 6093 CALM 10637 P 08/17-22 36 11 2 53 40 W 9 15 3 1 W 15 4167 CALM 7196 P 08/17-23 36 11 2 52 42 W 9 15 3 1 W 15 2241 CALM 3755 P 08/18-00 39 5 1 51 43 W 9 15 3 1 W 15 314 CALM 314 P 08/18-01 39 5 1 50 41 W 10 17 3 1 W 16 314 CALM 314 P 08/18-02 39 5 1 49 39 WNW 12 20 3 1 W 16 314 CALM 314 P 08/18-03 39 5 1 48 39 WNW 13 21 3 1 W 16 313 CALM 313 P 08/18-04 39 5 1 47 41 WNW 12 18 3 1 W 17 313 CALM 313 P 08/18-05 39 5 1 46 45 W 9 15 3 1 W 17 313 CALM 313 P 08/18-06 44 16 3 46 47 W 8 13 3 2 W 17 313 CALM 313 P 08/18-07 44 16 3 48 43 W 8 13 3 2 W 17 2691 CALM 5789 P 08/18-08 44 16 3 51 37 W 8 14 3 2 W 16 5069 CALM 11266 P 08/18-09 44 16 3 54 32 W 9 15 3 2 W 16 7448 CALM 16743 P 08/18-10 44 16 3 57 30 SW 10 16 3 2 W 15 9826 SW 2 22220 P 08/18-11 44 16 3 60 30 SSE 10 16 3 2 W 14 12204 WSW 2 27696 P 08/18-12 64 39 17 61 31 SE 10 16 3 3 W 14 14583 WSW 2 33173 P 08/18-13 64 39 17 63 30 SSE 9 15 3 3 W 15 13372 WSW 3 32434 P 08/18-14 64 39 17 63 31 S 8 8 3 3 W 15 12162 W 3 31695 P 08/18-15 71 46 23 64 31 S 6 6 3 3 W 16 10952 W 3 30955 P 08/18-16 71 46 23 64 32 SSW 5 5 2 3 W 17 9741 WNW 3 30216 P 08/18-17 71 46 23 63 34 SW 2 2 2 3 W 18 8531 NW 5 29477 P 08/18-18 58 31 10 62 36 WSW 2 2 2 3 W 20 7321 NW 5 28738 P 08/18-19 58 31 10 59 41 WSW 3 3 2 3 W 20 6153 NW 3 24000 P 08/18-20 58 31 10 56 46 W 5 5 2 3 W 20 4985 W 3 19263 P 08/18-21 58 31 10 54 48 W 7 7 3 3 WNW 20 3817 WSW 2 14526 P 08/18-22 58 31 10 53 49 W 9 15 3 3 WNW 20 2650 CALM 9788 P 08/18-23 58 31 10 52 50 WNW 12 18 3 3 NW 20 1482 CALM 5051 P 08/19-00 51 23 5 52 48 WNW 13 21 3 3 NW 20 314 CALM 314 P 08/19-01 51 23 5 51 48 WNW 13 20 3 3 NW 18 314 CALM 314 P 08/19-02 51 23 5 50 49 WNW 12 18 3 3 NW 18 313 CALM 313 P 08/19-03 51 23 5 50 48 WNW 10 16 3 3 NW 18 313 CALM 313 P 08/19-04 51 23 5 49 51 WNW 9 16 3 3 NW 17 313 CALM 313 P 08/19-05 51 23 5 48 54 WNW 9 15 3 3 NNW 17 313 CALM 313 P 08/19-06 45 19 4 48 56 WNW 9 15 3 2 NNW 16 312 CALM 312 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...MEIER REQUESTED BY...TIM PHILLIPS TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130816.LONGS.02/BOU