FNUS75 KBYZ 162142
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EMIGRANT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
342 PM MDT FRI AUG 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1517 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE FIRE BY SATURDAY MORNING. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SATURDAY
WILL BE QUITE WARM AND DRY WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER
TO MID 80S AND HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE TEENS. A WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE FIRE ON SUNDAY WITH COOLER CONDITIONS.
HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. WINDS
WILL BE TERRAIN INFLUENCED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWN-VALLEY WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH EARLY...
                    THEN WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE/UP-VALLEY 6 TO 14
                    MPH BY MID MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UP-VALLEY WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOME DOWNSLOPE/DOWN-VALLEY
                    4 TO 12 MPH BY LATE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWN-VALLEY WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH EARLY...
                    THEN WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE/UP-VALLEY 6 TO 14
                    MPH BY MID MORNING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...ARTHUR
REQUESTED BY...SHELBY MAJORS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130816.EMIGR.01/BYZ