FNUS73 KMQT 161646 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR KAWBAWGAM...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1246 PM EDT FRI AUG 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1224 EDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING DRY WEATHER TO UPPER MICHIGAN. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND AS THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH DRAWS WARMER AIR INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. SINCE THE FIRE SITE IS CLOSER TO THE SHORE... LAKE BREEZES WILL AFFECT THE WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTIONS AND ALSO RESULT IN LOCALLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE SLIDES THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE...MUCH OF THE ACCOMPANYING RAIN MAY STAY NORTH OF UPPER MICHIGAN. .THIS AFTERNOON... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT REQUEST...MAX 75. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 51 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 12 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (78) AT REQUEST. MAX...POOR (87). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 2500 TO 3000 FT AGL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........49 46 32 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 75 74 73 RH..............58 54 51 53 GENERAL WIND....N 4 NE 6 NE 6 E 6 GENERAL GUST....7 13 13 VINDX KT-FT/100.60 87 71 57 TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 SW 3 S 3 S 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2900 2400 1400 LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (26). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........23 25 23 16 20 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 66 63 61 59 57 RH..............61 67 73 76 80 85 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 6 S 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 GENERAL GUST.... VINDX KT-FT/100.44 27 26 38 40 37 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 10 SW 14 SW 17 SW 18 SW 17 MIX HGT (FT)....600 300 200 300 300 200 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (57). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........24 23 21 20 20 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 68 73 76 77 76 RH..............85 68 58 52 51 53 GENERAL WIND....SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 S 6 SE 6 S 4 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 10 10 6 VINDX KT-FT/100.30 33 38 25 41 56 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 W 10 SW 5 S 7 S 13 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 400 600 700 500 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...BRYCE AVERY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130816.KAWBA.01/MQT