FNUS76 KPDT 161622
FWSPDT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK...USFS WWF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
922 AM PDT FRI AUG 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OFF THE OREGON COAST WILL BRING MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE
BURN AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. THIS WHEN COMBINED WITH SURFACE HEATING
WILL PRODUCE AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS YIELDING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TODAY AND SATURDAY. THERE
IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
AND OUTFLOW FROM NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS MAY HAVE WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 65
MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.


***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10 MINUTE AVERAGES***
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH OR GREATER***
***FORECAST IS VALID FOR 12 HOURS AFTER ISSUANCE***

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND
                    WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 65 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND
                    WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 65 MPH. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ALAN POLAN
REQUESTED BY...BMIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130816.SILVE.01/PDT