FNUS75 KRIW 180938 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDLUCK...USFS SHF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 338 AM MDT SUN AUG 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2121 MDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TODAY AND MONDAY. WINDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL GENERALLY BE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AND BREEZY AT TIMES. WINDS IN THE SOUTH FORK SHOSHONE CANYON BETWEEN ROBINSON AND SILVER CREEKS WILL BE MORE SOUTHWEST. THERE COULD BE VERY ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS...WITH THE MAIN HAZARD BEING VERY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH. A BETTER SHOT AT THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS MOISTURE AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE OVERSPREAD THE REGION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MURRELL .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) WITH VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 AT 8 KFT. 61-64 AT 11 KFT. MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT AT 8 KFT. 18-22 PERCENT AT 11 KFT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 9 AM...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH AROUND NOON. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52. MAX HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 9 PM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH A VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82 AT 8 KFT. 62-66 AT 11 KFT. MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT AT 8 KFT. 17-22 PERCENT AT 11 KFT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 9 AM...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH AROUND NOON. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MURRELL REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130816.HARDL.01/RIW