FNUS75 KGJT 180151
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COG...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
751 PM MDT SAT AUG 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1925 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS UNDERWAY. THE
MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO UTAH TODAY AND WILL WORK INTO NORTHWEST
COLORADO TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
LIMIT INSTABILITY...SO MOST STORMS WILL BE LIMITED TO EAST AND
SOUTH OF THE FIRE SITE. AN ISOLATED STORM MAY FORM CLOSER TO THE
FIRE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
ANY STORM OR SHOWER. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN
DRIVEN...DOWNVALLEY TONIGHT TURNING UPVALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL MID-MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PAT BUTLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130817.COG__.01/GJT