FNUS75 KGJT 181016
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CANYON FIRE...STATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
416 AM MDT SUN AUG 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2211 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WORKING BACK NORTH INTO WESTERN COLORADO WILL BRING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS
SURROUNDING THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS WILL DRIFT OVER OR VERY NEAR THE FIRE AFTER 1400
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH 1900 THIS EVENING...BEFORE ENDING
FOR THE NIGHT. SUBTLE DRYING EXPECTED MONDAY WITH ONLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST...BEFORE ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE
SNEAKS BACK INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 2-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2300-50600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM ICT3
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130817.REDCA.01/GJT