FNUS75 KGJT 181601
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COG...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1001 AM MDT SUN AUG 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0936 MDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ANCHORED OVER WESTERN COLORADO
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THIS RIDGE
WILL FUEL ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
A SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS WYOMING LOOKS TO DRAG SOME DRIER AIR IN FOR
MONDAY WITH LESS CONFIDENCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS BEING IN
THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE. WINDS ALOFT ARE VERY WEAK UNDER THIS RIDGE
AND IN THE MIXED LAYER WHICH MAY KEEP THE SURFACE WIND MORE TIED TO
THE TERRAIN. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL ALSO NEED TO BE MONITORED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30%). MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60%)
                    BY 1400 WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    DEVELOPING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 7
                    TO 12 MPH AROUND 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 THROUGH 1400 THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2000...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) BY 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 MODERATE.
LAL.................2 THROUGH 2000 THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY NEAR 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...WENDY FINNEGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130818.COG__.01/GJT