FNUS75 KGJT 192151
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT IRON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
351 PM MDT MON AUG 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1624 MDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING STORMS THIS EVENING WILL PASS OVER THE FIRE AREA
BETWEEN 1600 AND 1900 THIS EVENING. LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE THE LARGEST THREAT FROM THESE STORMS. MOISTURE
REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE...PROVIDING FUEL FOR AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LATE THIS
EVENING...ONCE STORMS DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET...SMOKE DISPERSAL IS
EXPECTED TO BE POOR DUE TO VERY LOW WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1600 AND 1900...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 30 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY 1300. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENNING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130818.FLATI.01/GJT