FNUS75 KBOU 192350 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GLENCOE VALLY FIRE...JEFFCO OEM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 550 PM MDT MON AUG 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1739 MDT ON AUGUST 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER COLORADO WILL BRING VERY WARM CONDITIONS AGAIN ON TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAIN WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........51%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST UP TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-11800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1600. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. CWR.................5 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 0900. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GLENCOE VALLY FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/19-17 58 19 4 82 23 ESE 6 6 3 2 NNW 12 11868 CALM 12454 P 08/19-18 61 16 3 81 24 ESE 6 6 3 2 NNW 12 11496 CALM 16226 P 08/19-19 61 16 3 78 28 SE 6 6 3 2 NNW 10 7779 S 3 11691 P 08/19-20 61 16 3 74 33 S 6 6 3 2 NW 9 4062 S 7 7155 P 08/19-21 61 9 2 71 38 S 6 6 3 1 NW 8 345 S 9 2619 P 08/19-22 61 9 2 69 42 SSW 7 7 3 1 NW 8 367 S 10 3169 P 08/19-23 61 9 2 67 43 SSW 8 8 3 1 WNW 7 389 SSW 10 3718 P 08/20-00 35 0 0 66 45 SSW 8 8 3 1 WNW 7 411 SSW 12 4268 P 08/20-01 35 0 0 65 45 SW 8 8 3 1 W 8 366 SSW 10 3480 P 08/20-02 35 0 0 64 45 SW 7 7 3 1 W 9 322 WSW 9 2692 P 08/20-03 25 0 0 63 44 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 10 277 WSW 8 1905 P 08/20-04 25 0 0 61 48 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 9 254 W 7 1567 P 08/20-05 25 0 0 60 51 WSW 5 5 4 1 W 9 232 W 6 1229 P 08/20-06 37 0 0 61 49 W 5 5 4 1 W 8 209 W 5 890 P 08/20-07 37 0 0 65 43 W 3 3 4 1 W 8 1199 W 3 1471 P 08/20-08 37 0 0 70 35 W 2 2 3 1 W 8 2188 W 2 2051 P 08/20-09 40 5 1 76 28 W 2 2 3 1 W 8 3178 CALM 2631 P 08/20-10 40 5 1 79 25 SW 3 3 3 1 WNW 6 5906 SW 2 12719 P 08/20-11 40 5 1 82 22 SSE 5 5 3 1 NW 5 8634 S 2 22807 P 08/20-12 60 18 4 83 21 SE 6 6 3 2 NNW 3 11362 S 3 32894 P 08/20-13 60 18 4 84 19 ESE 6 6 3 2 WNW 5 11506 S 5 41652 F 08/20-14 60 18 4 85 19 ESE 6 6 3 2 SW 6 11650 S 5 50410 F 08/20-15 67 18 4 85 20 ESE 6 6 3 2 S 7 11795 S 6 59167 F 08/20-16 67 18 4 84 21 ESE 6 6 3 2 S 8 11821 S 7 76482 G 08/20-17 67 18 4 82 24 SSE 6 6 3 2 S 9 11846 SSW 9 93796 G 08/20-18 64 19 4 79 28 SSE 6 6 3 3 S 10 11872 SSW 10 111111 V 08/20-19 64 19 4 76 31 S 6 6 3 3 S 13 8033 SW 10 75072 G 08/20-20 64 19 4 72 35 SSW 6 6 3 3 SSW 16 4195 WSW 10 39033 P 08/20-21 64 19 4 69 39 SW 6 6 3 3 SSW 18 357 WSW 9 2995 P 08/20-22 64 19 4 67 42 SW 6 6 3 3 SW 21 343 SW 8 2555 P 08/20-23 64 19 4 65 45 WSW 6 6 3 3 SW 23 328 SW 7 2115 P 08/21-00 35 0 0 64 46 WSW 6 6 3 1 SW 25 314 SSW 6 1675 P 08/21-01 35 0 0 64 47 WSW 6 6 3 1 SW 24 281 SW 6 1484 P 08/21-02 35 0 0 63 49 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 22 247 SW 6 1293 P 08/21-03 35 0 0 62 52 WSW 6 6 3 1 WSW 21 214 WSW 6 1101 P 08/21-04 35 0 0 61 54 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 17 153 WSW 7 811 P 08/21-05 35 0 0 60 56 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 15 92 WNW 8 521 P 08/21-06 55 0 0 61 54 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 13 32 WNW 8 231 P 08/21-07 55 0 0 64 48 WNW 6 6 3 1 WSW 12 2671 NW 8 16336 P 08/21-08 55 0 0 69 39 NW 6 6 3 1 WSW 10 5310 NW 8 32441 P 08/21-09 55 0 0 74 33 NNW 6 6 3 1 WSW 9 7950 NNW 7 48546 F 08/21-10 55 0 0 78 29 N 6 6 3 1 WSW 9 8387 NNW 6 43119 F 08/21-11 55 0 0 81 26 NE 5 5 3 1 SW 9 8824 NW 5 37691 P 08/21-12 77 19 4 83 24 NE 5 5 3 3 SW 8 9262 NW 3 32264 P 08/21-13 77 19 4 84 24 ENE 5 5 3 3 SW 9 8984 WNW 3 27920 P 08/21-14 77 19 4 84 25 ENE 3 3 3 3 WSW 10 8706 W 3 23576 P 08/21-15 77 19 4 83 26 ENE 3 3 3 3 WSW 12 8428 WSW 2 19232 P 08/21-16 77 19 4 82 28 ENE 3 3 3 3 W 12 8488 SW 2 17940 P 08/21-17 77 19 4 80 32 ENE 2 2 3 3 WNW 12 8548 SSW 2 16648 P 08/21-18 59 19 4 78 35 ENE 2 2 3 3 WNW 12 8608 S 2 15357 P 08/21-19 59 19 4 75 38 E 2 2 3 3 WNW 9 6762 S 2 13632 P 08/21-20 59 19 4 72 42 CALM 1 3 3 W 7 4916 SE 3 11907 P 08/21-21 59 19 4 69 45 CALM 1 3 3 W 5 3070 ESE 3 10182 P 08/21-22 59 19 4 67 48 SSW 2 2 3 3 WSW 5 2584 ESE 5 9269 P 08/21-23 59 19 4 67 47 SW 2 2 3 3 WSW 3 2099 ESE 5 8355 P 08/22-00 37 2 0 66 48 WSW 3 3 3 1 SW 3 1614 ESE 6 7442 P 08/22-01 37 2 0 65 50 WSW 3 3 3 1 WSW 3 1731 ESE 5 7136 P 08/22-02 37 2 0 63 54 W 2 2 3 1 W 3 1849 ESE 5 6831 P 08/22-03 37 2 0 61 58 W 2 2 3 1 W 3 1966 SE 3 6525 P 08/22-04 37 2 0 60 60 W 2 2 3 1 W 3 1461 SSE 3 4556 P 08/22-05 37 2 0 59 63 W 2 2 3 1 WSW 3 956 SW 2 2587 P 08/22-06 61 2 0 60 62 W 2 2 3 1 SW 2 451 CALM 618 P 08/22-07 61 2 0 63 57 W 2 2 3 1 SW 3 1277 SW 2 4648 P 08/22-08 61 2 0 66 52 SW 2 2 3 1 S 5 2103 S 3 8677 P 08/22-09 61 2 0 70 46 SSW 2 2 3 1 S 5 2929 SSE 5 12706 P 08/22-10 61 2 0 73 42 S 3 3 3 1 S 7 4496 SSE 7 30579 P 08/22-11 61 2 0 75 40 ESE 3 3 3 1 SSE 8 6062 SSE 8 48453 F 08/22-12 73 23 5 76 39 E 5 5 3 3 SSE 9 7629 SSE 10 66326 G 08/22-13 73 23 5 77 38 E 5 5 3 3 SSE 10 7319 SSE 10 68851 G 08/22-14 73 23 5 78 36 ESE 6 6 2 3 S 10 7010 S 12 71376 G 08/22-15 73 23 5 78 36 ESE 6 6 2 3 S 10 6700 S 13 73901 G 08/22-16 73 23 5 77 37 SE 6 6 2 3 S 13 5807 S 13 64716 G 08/22-17 73 23 5 76 38 SE 6 6 3 3 SSW 14 4913 S 13 55531 F 08/22-18 53 24 5 74 40 SSE 6 6 3 3 SSW 16 4020 S 14 46346 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RON CELENTANO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130819.GLENC.01/BOU