FNUS75 KGJT 191659
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOG GULCH...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1059 AM MDT MON AUG 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1023 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING A SLOW DRIFT SOUTHEAST TUESDAY. MOISTURE
REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...PROVIDING FUEL
FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE SITE BY NOON...WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ERRATIC WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW WINDS IS BETWEEN 2PM AND 6PM
TODAY. LATE THIS EVENING...OVERNIGHT...AND TOMORROW
MORNING...SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR DUE TO VERY LOW
WINDS.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY BY
                    1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    AROUND NOON BECOMING SCATTERED IN COVERAGE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON NEAR SHOWERS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER 2200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY BY 1200. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AROUND 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY
                    1200...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON
                    NEAR SHOWERS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...WENDY FINNEGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130819.LOGGU.01/GJT