FNUS75 KGJT 192039
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR USAPCC 2013 STAGE 2...CSP IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
239 PM MDT MON AUG 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1408 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL WITH MOISTURE
CONTINUING O BE PULLED UP INTO THE AREA. CLOUDS WILL START
FORMING IN THE LATE MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 11AM TO NOON WITH
SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED AFTER 1PM. IF CONDITIONS PERSIST LIKE
THEY DID TODAY...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE CLOSE TO THE BIKE
ROUTE BUT NOT OVER IT. HOWEVER...MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
AND WITH THAT...CHANCES WILL ALSO INCREASE FOR GREATER STORM AND
SHOWER COVERAGE. THUS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REMAIN IN THE FORECAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALONG THE
BIKE ROUTE...BEST CHANCES SEEING ANY CONVECTION WILL BE AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS TO INCLUDE INDEPENDENCE PASS AND HOOSIER PASS.
WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE...EXPECT SLOW MOVING STORMS SO THE
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY REACHING A MAXIMUM FROM 3PM TO 6PM BEFORE STORMS
AND SHOWERS START DYING DOWN.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...ALEX BURCHETTA
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20130819.USAPC.01/GJT