FNUS75 KPUB 192017
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR STULTZ GULCH...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
217 PM MDT MON AUG 19 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWER WILL BE POSSIBLE THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
STORM MOTIONS TODAY ARE TO THE SOUTH...SO THOSE STORMS UP NEAR PIKES
PEAK AT 2 PM MAY DROP SOUTH AND AFFECT THE BURN AREA AFTER 3 PM. GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

OTHERWISE WE EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUD SKIES INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. WINDS WILL BE EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 2000 THEN WILL SHIFT
AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH.

TOMORROW IS GOING TO BE A REPEAT PERFORMANCE OF TODAY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY
BY NOONTIME.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(52 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(46 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 9                     MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN NORTHEAST
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130819.STULT.01/PUB